Escalating Rhetorical Battle Among Ethiopian Government and Eritrean Government Sparks Fears of Military Confrontation

Growing apprehensions are present over the potential of armed conflict involving East African countries, Ethiopia and the Eritrean government, as hostile language has escalated in recent weeks.

Horn of Africa region
Ethiopia and Eritrea cooperated in the armed struggle in Tigray but they have subsequently disagreed.

What Has Ethiopian Officials Declared?

Ethiopia's, being landlocked, requests for access to the maritime outlet through Eritrea has sparked a heated war of words.

The Ethiopian leader previously announced in 2023 that his country's maritime access was an existential matter, statements that Eritrea dismissed.

Diplomatic connections between the two countries have regularly been difficult. After a long-standing battle for independence, the Eritrean state, which has a long Red Sea coastline, legally broke away from Ethiopia in 1993, leaving it without sea access.

In 1998, a territorial conflict erupted in which more than 100,000 people were killed.

Latest Remarks from Ethiopia's Leadership

Prime Minister Abiy and army chief General Birhanu Jula have directly stated ownership of Eritrea's southern port of the port of Assab – approximately 60 kilometers from the boundary - and suggested the intention to seize it militarily.

Recently, the Prime Minister said Ethiopia's "error" of being denied passage to the sea as a due to Eritrea secession would be "rectified in the future".

Ethiopia's ambassador to Kenya, ex-military officer Bacha, said that the port was "Ethiopian property" and would be restored "usingζ­¦εŠ›".

Eritrea's Reaction to the Statements

Amid ongoing challenges from Ethiopia, Eritrea's reaction has been confined to short statements on X from Communications Head Yemane Gebremeskel.

He has rejected Ethiopia's push for access to the Red Sea describing it as "hazardous" and a "harmful plan" of "irredentism" – a policy of claiming back previous domains.

The information ministry cautioned on recently that attempts to justify "flagrant aggression" would have significant repercussions for the Ethiopian government and its neighbouring countries and is a "limit that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Military Activities on the Region

Currently, there are little evidence of major military movements in the boundary zones between the two countries.

Nonetheless, in the country, national TV has broadcast graduation ceremonies of numerous trainees at multiple army bases.

The leader of staff section of the military, Lt Gen Hachalu Sheleme, commented lately in an discussion that the military was in a "strong stance" as "tens of thousands of recruits" were joining it, which he said was "a warning to our opponents".

Historical Roots of the Conflict

For more than half a century from 1890, the territory was governed by Italian rulers.

Following World War II, it was then managed by the British military before evolving into a associated territory of Ethiopia.

But in the early 1960s Emperor Haile Selassie I terminated this system and the region became totally absorbed into Ethiopia.

A extended armed struggle occurred, ending with Ethiopia's defeat in the early 1990s. Independence was then approved by Eritreans in a referendum in 1993.

For a few years in the 1990s, there were good relations between the authorities in Addis Ababa and Asmara, but they fell out over the precise positioning of their common border, leading to war in 1998.

Though this ended in a truce in 2000, it was never fully implemented, and the two nations continued at odds.

This situation improved in 2018, when Abiy made approaches to Eritrean President the president. The two signed a declaration that the war was finished – a action that gained Abiy the Nobel Peace Prize.

The both administrations were then partners in the country's 2020-2022 internal conflict in Tigray.

But diplomatic connections have since broken down again.

Linda Paul
Linda Paul

Award-winning journalist with over a decade of experience covering international affairs and digital media trends.